Boys - Girls
New Haven Semi-State
2006 - 2007 - 2008



These are rankings of individuals and teams that feed into this semi-state. It is not a projected order of finish in the race.
Below the rankings is a projection of this round of the tournament.


RankNameGradeSchoolRatingState Rank
1  James Martin 9 Carroll (FW) 15:45 #3  
2  Andy Bayer 12 Leo 15:54 #7  
3  Ladd Mercer 12 Northridge 15:54 #8  
4  Nathan Morrow 12 DeKalb 16:00 #14  
5  Craig Padgett 12 Mishawaka 16:04 #18  
6  Andrew Albert 11 Northridge 16:06 #20  
7  Sam Bird 12 Northrop 16:11 #27  
8  Harrison Fausey 12 Columbia City 16:15 #35  
9  Derek Stinefield 11 Wapahani 16:19 #40  
10  Ross Ochs 10 Huntington North 16:23 #46  
11  Michael Bradley 10 St. Joseph's 16:23 #47  
12  Tony Yoder 12 Northridge 16:24 #52  
13  Austin O'Connor 12 Glenn 16:26 #56  
14  Jeff Wysong 12 West Noble 16:26 #58  
15  Nathan Hendershot 10 Pendleton Heights 16:28 #61  
16  Trevor Moore 9 Northridge 16:30 #69  
17  Alex Stoltie 11 Garrett 16:33 #77  
18  Ross Stichter 11 Wawasee 16:33 #81  
19  Mitch Keyser 11 Northridge 16:33 #82  
20  Andrew Morrow 12 DeKalb 16:34 #85  
21  Braden Nelson 12 Angola 16:35 #86  
22  Colin Vance 12 Snider 16:37 #93  
23  Lucas Roscoe 11 Elkhart Central 16:38 #97  
24  Race Dorsey 11 Elkhart Memorial 16:39 #100  
25  Jake Wyatt 12 Prairie Heights 16:39 #102  
26  Klayton Reed 12 Norwell 16:40 #103  
27  Zeth Baker 11 DeKalb 16:41 #104  
28  Robbie Kleber 11 Carroll (FW) 16:41 #108  
29  Erin Milton 10 Northrop 16:44 #114  
30  Austin Kilmer 11 Carroll (FW) 16:45 #118  
RankNameRegionalRatingState Rank
1  Northridge Elkhart Central 186 #3  
2  Carroll (FW) West Noble 272 #7  
3  Northrop West Noble 295 #9  
4  DeKalb West Noble 358 #17  
5  Huntington North Marion 374 #20  
6  Penn Elkhart Central 434 #30  
7  St. Joseph's Elkhart Central 471 #40  

Other unranked teams:
Wawasee Elkhart Central 484
Mishawaka Elkhart Central 486
Norwell Marion 515
Concord Elkhart Central 522
West Noble West Noble 536
Warsaw Elkhart Central 556
Goshen Elkhart Central 576
Bishop Dwenger West Noble 610



Semi-State Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Only teams that advanced out of the regional simulation for each trial were included in the semi-state simulation for that trial. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.


SchoolAdvances to RoundAvg FinishAvg ScoreMin ScoreMax Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Northridge 100.0% 1.2 45 17 145 86.4 11.4 2.0 0.2 0.0 0.0
Carroll (FW) 100.0% 2.6 91 28 188 6.9 46.5 33.1 9.4 3.3 0.7 0.1 0.0
Northrop 100.0% 2.8 96 31 214 6.5 37.3 38.5 11.5 4.6 1.2 0.3 0.1 0.1
DeKalb 100.0% 4.6 140 53 238 0.0 1.9 13.2 40.5 25.8 11.2 4.4 1.8 0.8 0.4 0.1
Huntington North 100.0% 5.1 149 51 265 0.2 2.8 10.5 23.9 30.6 16.0 7.9 4.0 2.3 1.4 0.4 0.0
Penn 92.3% 6.7 176 82 271 0.1 2.2 8.5 15.0 21.8 15.5 12.1 8.7 5.8 2.3 0.3
Wawasee 77.8% 7.4 188 108 271 0.0 0.1 2.0 7.3 15.1 18.1 15.3 11.0 6.1 2.5 0.2
St. Joseph's 74.7% 7.6 191 90 274 0.0 0.2 1.8 5.8 12.3 16.4 15.0 12.5 7.2 3.0 0.3
Mishawaka 63.7% 8.1 198 110 276 0.1 0.8 2.7 7.3 11.4 14.6 13.3 9.4 3.6 0.4
Concord 55.7% 8.8 210 102 289 0.0 0.0 0.7 1.5 4.2 6.7 9.2 12.1 11.9 7.8 1.6
Warsaw 21.6% 9.0 212 130 284 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.4 3.5 5.2 4.8 3.3 0.7
Goshen 14.3% 9.2 215 129 280 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.4 2.2 3.3 3.5 2.6 0.5
Norwell 100.0% 9.4 221 107 328 0.1 0.7 1.9 5.8 9.0 12.4 15.0 21.8 24.0 9.4
West Noble 100.0% 9.9 229 126 332 0.1 0.8 2.5 5.9 8.7 13.5 22.3 35.1 11.0
Bishop Dwenger 100.0% 11.6 273 162 358 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 1.0 2.1 5.4 15.4 75.5


RunnerSchoolRatingAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
James Martin Carroll (FW) 15:45 100.0% 1.0 50.5 21.7 12.5 6.9 4.1 2.1 1.1 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
Andy Bayer Leo 15:54 100.0% 2.5 18.3 23.2 18.5 13.8 9.8 6.3 4.2 2.2 1.4 0.9 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Ladd Mercer Northridge 15:54 100.0% 2.5 17.4 23.2 20.5 15.2 10.4 5.8 3.3 2.0 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Nathan Morrow DeKalb 16:00 100.0% 3.9 7.3 12.5 15.5 15.9 13.9 10.8 7.7 5.4 3.3 2.4 1.9 1.1 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1
Craig Padgett Mishawaka 16:04 100.0% 4.9 3.8 8.2 12.0 13.6 14.3 13.1 9.3 6.8 5.3 3.7 2.9 1.9 1.3 1.1 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2
Andrew Albert Northridge 16:06 100.0% 5.6 0.9 4.5 8.5 12.8 15.3 14.1 11.6 8.7 6.5 4.7 3.4 2.6 1.7 1.4 1.0 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2
Sam Bird Northrop 16:11 100.0% 6.9 1.1 3.5 5.1 8.2 9.4 12.2 12.0 10.1 8.0 7.0 5.2 3.8 2.8 2.5 2.0 1.7 1.1 0.9 0.9 0.7
Harrison Fausey Columbia City 16:15 100.0% 8.4 0.5 1.6 3.4 4.9 7.0 9.0 10.2 10.1 9.2 7.4 6.7 5.7 4.4 3.3 3.1 2.8 2.2 1.7 1.3 1.1
Derek Stinefield Wapahani 16:19 100.0% 10.2 0.2 0.7 1.6 2.8 4.3 5.5 7.7 8.7 9.1 7.8 7.1 6.5 5.7 5.3 4.2 3.8 3.0 2.7 2.0 2.1
Ross Ochs Huntington North 16:23 100.0% 12.5 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.2 2.1 3.6 4.7 6.0 6.5 7.6 7.2 6.5 6.6 5.8 5.1 4.5 4.0 3.6 3.3 2.6
Michael Bradley St. Joseph's 16:23 99.1% 12.8 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.3 2.1 3.5 4.8 6.2 6.4 7.0 6.6 6.2 5.9 6.0 4.8 4.5 4.4 3.6 3.4 3.0
Tony Yoder Northridge 16:24 100.0% 13.2 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.3 2.6 4.3 5.7 6.6 6.6 7.1 7.0 6.9 6.1 5.3 4.9 4.8 3.8 3.5 3.0
Austin O'Connor Glenn 16:26 98.3% 14.1 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.7 1.5 2.4 3.5 4.8 5.6 5.8 5.9 6.2 5.9 5.7 5.2 5.1 4.5 4.2 3.9 3.4
Jeff Wysong West Noble 16:26 100.0% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.5 2.5 3.4 4.5 5.0 6.2 5.8 6.2 5.6 5.7 5.3 5.2 4.5 4.1 3.8 3.7
Nathan Hendershot Pendleton Heights 16:28 100.0% 15.7 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.8 2.8 3.7 4.3 4.9 5.2 5.7 5.5 5.4 5.5 5.1 4.7 4.6 3.7 3.5
Trevor Moore Northridge 16:30 100.0% 17.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.5 2.3 3.5 4.2 4.8 5.2 5.8 5.3 5.2 5.3 5.1 4.7 4.4 4.3
Alex Stoltie Garrett 16:33 87.2% 18.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.3 1.9 2.4 2.9 3.4 4.0 3.8 4.2 4.1 4.1 4.6 4.4 4.2 3.9
Ross Stichter Wawasee 16:33 96.1% 19.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.0 1.7 2.4 2.9 3.3 3.4 4.1 4.6 4.6 4.5 4.4 4.5 4.5 4.3
Mitch Keyser Northridge 16:33 100.0% 20.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.3 2.0 2.5 2.9 3.7 4.3 4.3 4.6 4.4 4.4 4.3 4.7 4.3
Andrew Morrow DeKalb 16:34 100.0% 21.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.0 1.2 1.8 2.4 2.7 3.0 3.7 3.7 3.7 4.3 4.0 4.7 4.2 4.1
Braden Nelson Angola 16:35 84.1% 19.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.2 2.0 1.9 2.7 2.8 3.3 3.6 4.1 3.8 3.9 4.1 3.8 3.8
Colin Vance Snider 16:37 78.6% 21.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.7 0.9 1.2 1.5 2.0 2.3 2.6 2.9 3.5 3.3 3.4 3.5 3.4 3.8
Lucas Roscoe Elkhart Central 16:38 86.2% 22.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.8 1.2 1.3 1.8 2.2 2.4 2.4 3.2 3.1 3.3 3.6 3.7 3.6
Race Dorsey Elkhart Memorial 16:39 83.7% 23.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.0 1.4 1.6 1.9 2.0 2.4 2.7 3.0 3.2 3.2 3.3 3.3
Jake Wyatt Prairie Heights 16:39 71.7% 22.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.7 1.0 1.4 1.7 1.9 2.3 2.5 2.8 2.8 2.7 3.2 2.9
Klayton Reed Norwell 16:40 100.0% 25.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.9 1.1 1.7 1.8 1.8 2.4 2.7 2.6 3.1 3.0 3.3 3.6
Zeth Baker DeKalb 16:41 100.0% 27.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.7 0.9 1.3 1.4 2.0 2.4 2.6 2.9 2.9 3.1 3.0
Robbie Kleber Carroll (FW) 16:41 100.0% 27.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.8 1.2 1.3 1.5 1.7 2.1 2.4 2.8 3.2 2.9 3.2
Erin Milton Northrop 16:44 100.0% 30.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.9 1.9 1.9 2.3 2.7
Austin Kilmer Carroll (FW) 16:45 100.0% 31.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.8 0.9 0.8 1.3 1.5 1.6 2.1 2.0 2.2